Strategy Viability Checker

Test if your trading strategy will actually make money over time.

Uses & Examples

When to Use This Tool

Testing if a strategy idea is actually profitable before trading real money
Validating your current stats — will this system make money over 100+ trades?
Comparing two approaches: high win rate / small wins vs low win rate / big wins
Getting a Kelly % to know your ideal position size for this specific strategy

Worked Example

Worked Example

Avg win: $500 | Avg loss: $300 | Win rate: 55% | Start: $10,000 | 20 trades/mo | 12 months

Avg gain per trade: (0.55 × $500) − (0.45 × $300) = $275 − $135 = $140

Monthly gain: 20 × $140 = $2,800/month

Projected 12-month balance: ~$43,600 | Kelly %: 28.1%

Verdict: STRONG STRATEGY — positive expectancy with good sizing.